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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.60+7.58vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.67+2.41vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-1.00+5.95vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.50+0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.03+4.56vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.76+2.23vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.31-0.13vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.36-0.95vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.23-3.82vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.58-1.42vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.59+0.15vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-2.03-0.41vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-1.39-7.71vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.46-8.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.58Western Washington University-0.603.8%1st Place
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4.41Western Washington University0.6716.2%1st Place
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8.95Oregon State University-1.003.9%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Davis0.5016.4%1st Place
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9.56University of Oregon-1.032.6%1st Place
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8.23Unknown School-0.764.3%1st Place
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6.87Unknown School-0.316.6%1st Place
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7.05University of Washington-0.367.0%1st Place
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5.18Western Washington University0.2311.5%1st Place
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8.58University of California at Davis-0.583.8%1st Place
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11.15University of California at Davis-1.591.1%1st Place
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11.59University of California at Davis-2.030.7%1st Place
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5.29University of Washington-1.3910.4%1st Place
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5.17University of Washington0.4611.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Dodd | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 16.2% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 6.9% |
| Thomas Samuels | 16.4% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 10.2% |
| Christopher Sloggett | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 3.1% |
| Alexx Johnson | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 4.8% |
| Grace Chitouras | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 29.9% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 20.1% | 37.2% |
| Emily Smith | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Zackery Martin | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.