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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis-0.58+7.59vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-1.39+3.35vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.67+1.37vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.03+5.50vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.46+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.50-1.61vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.23-1.91vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.36-0.92vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-1.00+0.22vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.60-1.46vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-0.76-2.71vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.59-0.77vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-0.31-6.19vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.03-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.59University of California at Davis-0.583.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Washington-1.3910.9%1st Place
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4.37Western Washington University0.6717.2%1st Place
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9.5University of Oregon-1.032.9%1st Place
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5.01University of Washington0.4612.4%1st Place
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4.39University of California at Davis0.5015.5%1st Place
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5.09Western Washington University0.2312.3%1st Place
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7.08University of Washington-0.365.7%1st Place
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9.22Oregon State University-1.002.6%1st Place
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8.54Western Washington University-0.604.3%1st Place
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8.29Unknown School-0.764.4%1st Place
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11.23University of California at Davis-1.591.4%1st Place
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6.81Unknown School-0.316.1%1st Place
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11.52University of California at Davis-2.031.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Brees | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| Emily Smith | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 17.2% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 8.8% |
| Zackery Martin | 12.4% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Samuels | 15.5% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Christopher Sloggett | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Grace Chitouras | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 20.4% | 29.9% |
| Alexx Johnson | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Shanay Patel | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 20.0% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.