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📊 Prediction Accuracy
7.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School-0.31+5.86vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-1.39+3.32vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.46+2.09vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.60+4.57vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.58+3.46vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.76+2.36vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.67-2.69vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.50-3.68vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.23-3.91vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.36-2.91vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.59+0.18vs Predicted
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12Oregon State University-1.00-2.77vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.03-3.47vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.03-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Unknown School-0.317.0%1st Place
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5.32University of Washington-1.3911.7%1st Place
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5.09University of Washington0.4611.8%1st Place
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8.57Western Washington University-0.603.8%1st Place
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8.46University of California at Davis-0.583.4%1st Place
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8.36Unknown School-0.763.9%1st Place
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4.31Western Washington University0.6716.7%1st Place
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4.32University of California at Davis0.5016.8%1st Place
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5.09Western Washington University0.2312.4%1st Place
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7.09University of Washington-0.365.5%1st Place
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11.18University of California at Davis-1.591.2%1st Place
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9.23Oregon State University-1.002.2%1st Place
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9.53University of Oregon-1.032.8%1st Place
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11.59University of California at Davis-2.030.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexx Johnson | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Emily Smith | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Zackery Martin | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 5.2% |
| Jonah Brees | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Christopher Sloggett | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Dalton Lovett | 16.7% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 16.8% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Grace Chitouras | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 19.4% | 28.4% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 7.3% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 11.1% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.