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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.50+3.28vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.67+2.43vs Predicted
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3Unknown School-0.31+3.90vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.46+1.14vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.39+0.32vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.03+3.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.59+4.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.58+0.53vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.36-1.78vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.23-4.94vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University-1.00-1.99vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-0.76-3.93vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.60-4.22vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.03-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28University of California at Davis0.5016.2%1st Place
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4.43Western Washington University0.6714.9%1st Place
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6.9Unknown School-0.316.4%1st Place
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5.14University of Washington0.4611.6%1st Place
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5.32University of Washington-1.3911.2%1st Place
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9.57University of Oregon-1.032.5%1st Place
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11.19University of California at Davis-1.591.1%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Davis-0.584.1%1st Place
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7.22University of Washington-0.365.9%1st Place
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5.06Western Washington University0.2313.2%1st Place
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9.01Oregon State University-1.003.9%1st Place
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8.07Unknown School-0.764.5%1st Place
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8.78Western Washington University-0.603.5%1st Place
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11.5University of California at Davis-2.031.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Samuels | 16.2% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 14.9% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexx Johnson | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Zackery Martin | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Smith | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 9.0% |
| Grace Chitouras | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 20.9% | 28.7% |
| Jonah Brees | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 5.2% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 7.8% |
| Christopher Sloggett | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 5.6% |
| Shanay Patel | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 18.9% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.