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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School-0.31+5.98vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.60+6.48vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-0.58+5.53vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.23+1.05vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.46+0.04vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.50-1.70vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-1.39-1.57vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-1.00+1.23vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.59+2.12vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.67-5.53vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-0.76-2.69vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.36-4.96vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.03-3.36vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.03-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Unknown School-0.317.0%1st Place
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8.48Western Washington University-0.603.6%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Davis-0.584.4%1st Place
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5.05Western Washington University0.2313.5%1st Place
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5.04University of Washington0.4611.6%1st Place
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4.3University of California at Davis0.5017.0%1st Place
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5.43University of Washington-1.3910.2%1st Place
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9.23Oregon State University-1.002.6%1st Place
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11.12University of California at Davis-1.591.4%1st Place
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4.47Western Washington University0.6715.5%1st Place
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8.31Unknown School-0.763.8%1st Place
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7.04University of Washington-0.365.9%1st Place
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9.64University of Oregon-1.032.4%1st Place
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11.39University of California at Davis-2.031.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexx Johnson | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.4% |
| Jonah Brees | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Zackery Martin | 11.6% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Samuels | 17.0% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 8.3% |
| Grace Chitouras | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 19.2% | 30.3% |
| Dalton Lovett | 15.5% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Sloggett | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 10.2% |
| Shanay Patel | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.