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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.33vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.70+4.99vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.73+3.97vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.80+2.47vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.93+4.89vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.12+3.24vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.55+0.47vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan3.02+1.56vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.29-0.57vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.45+2.07vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-3.10vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-3.25vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.97-3.36vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.63-3.12vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.28-2.53vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia1.99-2.35vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania3.51-9.23vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.22-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.99Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.97Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.47Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.89Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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9.24College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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7.47Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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8.43Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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12.07Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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8.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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9.64Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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10.88SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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12.47George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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13.65University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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15.52University of Miami1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Brady Stagg | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| IG Schottlaender | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| AJ Reiter | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 7.8% |
| Markus Edegran | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Price | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% |
| Colin Kennedy | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.6% |
| Samuel Patterson | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 18.7% | 18.5% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Hickling | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.