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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School-0.31+5.75vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-1.39+3.35vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.46+2.09vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.58+4.45vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.23+0.11vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.50-1.54vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-1.00+2.15vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.59+3.19vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.03+0.48vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.36-2.79vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.67-6.60vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.60-3.27vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-0.76-4.84vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.03-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Unknown School-0.317.7%1st Place
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5.35University of Washington-1.3910.7%1st Place
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5.09University of Washington0.4612.8%1st Place
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8.45University of California at Davis-0.583.9%1st Place
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5.11Western Washington University0.2311.6%1st Place
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4.46University of California at Davis0.5015.0%1st Place
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9.15Oregon State University-1.003.3%1st Place
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11.19University of California at Davis-1.591.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Oregon-1.032.8%1st Place
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7.21University of Washington-0.365.8%1st Place
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4.4Western Washington University0.6715.5%1st Place
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8.73Western Washington University-0.603.3%1st Place
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8.16Unknown School-0.765.2%1st Place
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11.46University of California at Davis-2.031.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexx Johnson | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Emily Smith | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Zackery Martin | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 11.6% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Samuels | 15.0% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 7.6% |
| Grace Chitouras | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 29.6% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 10.7% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Dalton Lovett | 15.5% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 5.1% |
| Christopher Sloggett | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Shanay Patel | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.