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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.50+3.62vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.23+3.50vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.67+1.81vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-0.31+3.28vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.39+0.81vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.36+1.74vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.46-1.41vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.58+1.19vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.03-2.45vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-1.03+0.35vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.60-1.82vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.59+0.08vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University-1.00-3.06vs Predicted
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14Unknown School-0.76-5.14vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.03-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62University of California at Davis0.5016.4%1st Place
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5.5Western Washington University0.2311.1%1st Place
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4.81Western Washington University0.6713.3%1st Place
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7.28Unknown School-0.316.4%1st Place
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5.81University of Washington-1.3910.6%1st Place
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7.74University of Washington-0.365.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Washington0.4610.8%1st Place
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9.19University of California at Davis-0.583.6%1st Place
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6.55Western Washington University0.037.4%1st Place
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10.35University of Oregon-1.033.0%1st Place
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9.18Western Washington University-0.603.3%1st Place
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12.08University of California at Davis-1.591.4%1st Place
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9.94Oregon State University-1.002.5%1st Place
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8.86Unknown School-0.764.2%1st Place
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12.5University of California at Davis-2.031.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Samuels | 16.4% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 13.3% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexx Johnson | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Emily Smith | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Zackery Martin | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
| Caroline Hurley | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Tillie Morris | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 10.0% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Grace Chitouras | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 30.6% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 7.7% |
| Christopher Sloggett | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Shanay Patel | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 19.3% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.