← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.93+9.20vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College3.55+5.65vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University3.73+3.96vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.97+5.70vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.80+1.46vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.06vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan3.02+2.65vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston3.12+1.10vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania3.51-1.45vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University3.29-1.20vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College2.63+0.34vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-4.02vs Predicted
-
13Washington College2.45-1.31vs Predicted
-
14University of Virginia1.99-0.74vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University2.28-2.47vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University3.70-9.08vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-8.40vs Predicted
-
18University of Miami1.22-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.2Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
-
7.65Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
-
6.96Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
9.7Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
-
6.46Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
9.65University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
-
9.1College of Charleston3.120.0%1st Place
-
7.55University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
-
8.8Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
-
11.34SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
-
7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
-
11.69Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
-
13.26University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
-
12.53George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
-
6.92Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
-
8.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
-
15.55University of Miami1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Price | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| AJ Reiter | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 5.8% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 6.9% |
| Samuel Patterson | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 16.3% |
| Colin Kennedy | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 10.9% |
| Brady Stagg | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Jacob La Dow | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Lucas Hickling | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 16.7% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.