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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.44+2.94vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.19+3.29vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.64+0.78vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.51+2.26vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.25+0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.82+1.10vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.11-2.62vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.89-0.78vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.80-1.89vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.15+0.04vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.20-0.80vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-0.71-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94University of Washington0.4417.5%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Davis-0.1910.8%1st Place
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3.78Western Washington University0.6418.8%1st Place
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6.26Western Washington University-0.517.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Washington-0.258.4%1st Place
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7.1University of Oregon-0.825.7%1st Place
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4.38University of Oregon0.1114.3%1st Place
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7.22Unknown School-0.895.1%1st Place
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7.11University of California at Davis-0.805.5%1st Place
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10.04University of California at Davis-2.151.5%1st Place
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10.2University of California at Davis-2.201.2%1st Place
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6.86Unknown School-0.714.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Delasanta | 17.5% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 18.8% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Henry Stier | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Sadie Creemer | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 3.9% |
| Emily Avey | 14.3% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Deets | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 4.2% |
| Konrad Brine | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 3.8% |
| Bryson Dort | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 24.1% | 38.2% |
| Alexander Lewald | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 22.2% | 44.9% |
| AXCELLE BELL | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.