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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.15+3.08vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.13+2.23vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92-0.14vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California3.12-1.37vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.20+0.75vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine2.34-2.23vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.19+0.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.18-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.1%1st Place
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4.23University of Hawaii2.130.1%1st Place
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2.86Stanford University2.920.3%1st Place
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2.63University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Los Angeles1.200.0%1st Place
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3.77University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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7.04California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgane Renoir | 10.9% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.3% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 11.1% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 2.7% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 26.1% | 21.3% | 19.8% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emily Dahl | 28.4% | 26.6% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Shannon Walker | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 19.9% | 28.5% | 16.2% |
| Blair Johnston | 13.8% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 16.1% | 61.6% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 26.2% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.