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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.64+2.75vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.44+1.96vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.25+2.74vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-0.89+3.20vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.51+1.29vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-2.15+3.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.80+0.26vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.11-3.51vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.19-3.82vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.20+0.23vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.82-3.79vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-0.71-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Western Washington University0.6419.8%1st Place
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3.96University of Washington0.4417.5%1st Place
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5.74University of Washington-0.258.5%1st Place
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7.2Unknown School-0.895.1%1st Place
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6.29Western Washington University-0.516.7%1st Place
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9.94University of California at Davis-2.150.9%1st Place
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7.26University of California at Davis-0.805.0%1st Place
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4.49University of Oregon0.1113.3%1st Place
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5.18University of California at Davis-0.1911.2%1st Place
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10.23University of California at Davis-2.201.3%1st Place
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7.21University of Oregon-0.824.5%1st Place
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6.76Unknown School-0.716.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nolasco | 19.8% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 17.5% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Stier | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Bailey Deets | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 4.3% |
| Anna Morrow | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 23.0% | 36.6% |
| Konrad Brine | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 4.8% |
| Emily Avey | 13.3% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Lewald | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 23.4% | 43.7% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 4.1% |
| AXCELLE BELL | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.