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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.25+4.73vs Predicted
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2Unknown School-0.71+4.83vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.64+0.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-2.15+5.99vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.51+1.16vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.19-0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.82+0.22vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.89-0.72vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.44-5.07vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.80-2.77vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.20-0.82vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon0.11-7.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73University of Washington-0.258.1%1st Place
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6.83Unknown School-0.715.4%1st Place
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3.72Western Washington University0.6420.1%1st Place
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9.99University of California at Davis-2.150.9%1st Place
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6.16Western Washington University-0.517.6%1st Place
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5.27University of California at Davis-0.1910.4%1st Place
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7.22University of Oregon-0.824.7%1st Place
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7.28Unknown School-0.894.7%1st Place
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3.93University of Washington0.4417.4%1st Place
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7.23University of California at Davis-0.804.9%1st Place
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10.18University of California at Davis-2.201.4%1st Place
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4.44University of Oregon0.1114.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Stier | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| AXCELLE BELL | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 20.1% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 12.0% | 25.0% | 36.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 4.2% |
| Bailey Deets | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 4.4% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 17.4% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Konrad Brine | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 4.2% |
| Alexander Lewald | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 11.0% | 20.6% | 44.7% |
| Emily Avey | 14.4% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.