← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Maritime College2.63+10.34vs Predicted
-
2Washington College2.45+10.14vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+4.96vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.29+4.37vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.93+4.87vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.62vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.05vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University3.73-1.29vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University3.70-2.18vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.97+0.10vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.80-4.31vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston3.12-2.45vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-4.71vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College3.55-6.85vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan3.02-5.45vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University2.28-3.35vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia1.99-3.37vs Predicted
-
18University of Miami1.22-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.34SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
-
12.14Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
-
7.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.37Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
-
9.87Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
-
7.62University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
-
7.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
6.71Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
6.82Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
-
10.1Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
-
6.69Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
9.55College of Charleston3.120.0%1st Place
-
8.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
-
7.15Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
-
9.55University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
-
12.65George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
-
13.63University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
-
15.49University of Miami1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Paxton | 3.7% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| AJ Reiter | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Price | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Jacob La Dow | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| IG Schottlaender | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Colin Kennedy | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.3% |
| Samuel Patterson | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 18.1% |
| Lucas Hickling | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 15.9% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.