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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.44+3.02vs Predicted
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2Unknown School-0.71+4.70vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.11+1.44vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.64-0.18vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.19+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.25-0.24vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.51-0.87vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.80-0.85vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-2.15+1.14vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.82-2.96vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.20-0.64vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-0.89-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02University of Washington0.4417.6%1st Place
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6.7Unknown School-0.715.7%1st Place
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4.44University of Oregon0.1115.2%1st Place
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3.82Western Washington University0.6420.3%1st Place
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5.2University of California at Davis-0.1910.5%1st Place
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5.76University of Washington-0.257.0%1st Place
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6.13Western Washington University-0.516.7%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Davis-0.805.0%1st Place
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10.14University of California at Davis-2.151.4%1st Place
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7.04University of Oregon-0.825.6%1st Place
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10.36University of California at Davis-2.200.9%1st Place
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7.24Unknown School-0.894.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Delasanta | 17.6% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| AXCELLE BELL | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Emily Avey | 15.2% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 20.3% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Henry Stier | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Konrad Brine | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 3.0% |
| Bryson Dort | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 24.5% | 40.2% |
| Sadie Creemer | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 3.2% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 23.8% | 43.5% |
| Bailey Deets | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.