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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School-0.71+5.79vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.51+4.19vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.25+2.86vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.11+0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.44-0.99vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.64-2.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.19-1.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.80-0.91vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-2.15+0.96vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.20+0.17vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-0.89-3.78vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-0.82-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Unknown School-0.716.2%1st Place
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6.19Western Washington University-0.517.6%1st Place
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5.86University of Washington-0.258.5%1st Place
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4.54University of Oregon0.1114.4%1st Place
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4.01University of Washington0.4417.2%1st Place
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3.73Western Washington University0.6419.2%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Davis-0.1910.2%1st Place
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7.09University of California at Davis-0.805.5%1st Place
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9.96University of California at Davis-2.151.0%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Davis-2.201.2%1st Place
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7.22Unknown School-0.894.5%1st Place
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7.03University of Oregon-0.824.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AXCELLE BELL | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 2.6% |
| Anna Morrow | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Henry Stier | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Emily Avey | 14.4% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 17.2% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 19.2% | 19.1% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Konrad Brine | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 3.6% |
| Bryson Dort | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 24.1% | 38.4% |
| Alexander Lewald | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 21.9% | 43.1% |
| Bailey Deets | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 4.9% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.