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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.64+2.81vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.44+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.25+2.68vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.19+1.38vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.11-0.56vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.51+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-2.15+3.08vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.71-1.28vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-2.20+1.23vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-0.89-2.65vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.80-3.81vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-0.82-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Western Washington University0.6419.8%1st Place
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3.9University of Washington0.4417.5%1st Place
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5.68University of Washington-0.258.6%1st Place
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5.38University of California at Davis-0.199.7%1st Place
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4.44University of Oregon0.1114.8%1st Place
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6.19Western Washington University-0.517.0%1st Place
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10.08University of California at Davis-2.151.5%1st Place
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6.72Unknown School-0.715.6%1st Place
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10.23University of California at Davis-2.201.2%1st Place
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7.35Unknown School-0.894.2%1st Place
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7.19University of California at Davis-0.804.8%1st Place
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7.05University of Oregon-0.825.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nolasco | 19.8% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 17.5% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Henry Stier | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Emily Avey | 14.8% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Bryson Dort | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 25.1% | 37.6% |
| AXCELLE BELL | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Alexander Lewald | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 23.2% | 44.1% |
| Bailey Deets | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 4.3% |
| Konrad Brine | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 4.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.