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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis-0.19+5.11vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.20+4.64vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.25+3.92vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.44+0.72vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.64-0.61vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.71+2.00vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.82+1.46vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-2.20+3.95vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-0.89-0.36vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.80-1.44vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon0.11-5.65vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.10-5.89vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.15-1.20vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.51-6.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11University of California at Davis-0.198.1%1st Place
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6.64Western Washington University-0.207.3%1st Place
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6.92University of Washington-0.256.9%1st Place
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4.72University of Washington0.4414.9%1st Place
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4.39Western Washington University0.6416.8%1st Place
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8.0Unknown School-0.715.2%1st Place
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8.46University of Oregon-0.824.0%1st Place
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11.95University of California at Davis-2.201.2%1st Place
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8.64Unknown School-0.893.8%1st Place
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8.56University of California at Davis-0.804.3%1st Place
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5.35University of Oregon0.1111.2%1st Place
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6.11Western Washington University-0.108.9%1st Place
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11.8University of California at Davis-2.150.8%1st Place
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7.35Western Washington University-0.516.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Holden | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Henry Stier | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 14.9% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 16.8% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| AXCELLE BELL | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Alexander Lewald | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 24.3% | 41.1% |
| Bailey Deets | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| Konrad Brine | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 4.1% |
| Emily Avey | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Tanaka | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 21.8% | 39.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.