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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.76+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.08+1.20vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-0.29+0.41vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.90+0.15vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.21-2.22vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.92-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Northwestern University0.7637.6%1st Place
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3.2University of Michigan0.0816.0%1st Place
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3.41University of Chicago-0.2913.7%1st Place
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4.15Northwestern University-0.907.9%1st Place
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2.78Michigan State University0.2122.4%1st Place
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5.26Miami University-1.922.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Davies | 37.6% | 27.9% | 17.8% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 16.0% | 18.6% | 21.9% | 21.3% | 17.3% | 4.9% |
| Ben Kosvic | 13.7% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 23.6% | 20.0% | 7.2% |
| Jenna Spray | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 30.3% | 20.8% |
| Dominique DeLano | 22.4% | 23.8% | 22.4% | 18.1% | 11.5% | 1.8% |
| AJ McRitchie | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 16.6% | 64.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.