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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.74+2.40vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+1.71vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.30+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99-0.85vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.34-0.87vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21-3.22vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.31-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Boston University2.740.2%1st Place
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3.71Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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4.18Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.15University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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4.13Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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2.78Dartmouth College3.210.3%1st Place
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6.66Middlebury College-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 18.5% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 1.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 13.3% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 2.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 10.6% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 26.4% | 4.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 20.3% | 19.9% | 19.3% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 8.5% | 0.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 23.1% | 5.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 26.3% | 24.5% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Cordelia Prouvost | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 85.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.