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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+2.04vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+1.71vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21-0.23vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.74-0.47vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.30-0.79vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.34-1.92vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.31-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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3.71Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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2.77Dartmouth College3.210.3%1st Place
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3.53Boston University2.740.2%1st Place
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4.21Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.08Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.66Middlebury College-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 23.3% | 20.1% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 1.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 13.7% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 26.1% | 23.9% | 18.7% | 15.9% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 16.3% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 1.8% |
| Kate Levinson | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 19.9% | 24.7% | 5.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 10.3% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 25.5% | 3.3% |
| Cordelia Prouvost | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 85.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.