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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.76+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.08+1.21vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.90+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-0.29-0.59vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.92+0.28vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.21-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Northwestern University0.7636.9%1st Place
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3.21University of Michigan0.0815.2%1st Place
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4.13Northwestern University-0.908.1%1st Place
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3.41University of Chicago-0.2913.2%1st Place
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5.28Miami University-1.922.8%1st Place
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2.76Michigan State University0.2123.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Davies | 36.9% | 28.0% | 18.9% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 15.2% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 23.3% | 17.5% | 4.2% |
| Jenna Spray | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 31.8% | 19.8% |
| Ben Kosvic | 13.2% | 16.1% | 20.2% | 24.4% | 18.9% | 7.0% |
| AJ McRitchie | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 16.3% | 65.3% |
| Dominique DeLano | 23.9% | 22.9% | 23.2% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.