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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.76+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-0.29+1.30vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.90+1.22vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.08-0.82vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.21-2.20vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.92-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Northwestern University0.7636.2%1st Place
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3.3University of Chicago-0.2915.4%1st Place
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4.22Northwestern University-0.906.8%1st Place
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3.18University of Michigan0.0816.2%1st Place
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2.8Michigan State University0.2123.4%1st Place
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5.3Miami University-1.922.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Davies | 36.2% | 29.1% | 18.3% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
Ben Kosvic | 15.4% | 16.7% | 20.9% | 22.3% | 18.5% | 6.2% |
Jenna Spray | 6.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 35.4% | 19.1% |
Samuel Ephraim | 16.2% | 18.9% | 21.5% | 23.1% | 15.6% | 4.9% |
Dominique DeLano | 23.4% | 21.3% | 23.2% | 18.8% | 10.5% | 2.7% |
AJ McRitchie | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 15.3% | 66.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.