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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+2.69vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.74+1.42vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.34+1.11vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.30+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99-1.84vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21-3.23vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.31-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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3.42Boston University2.740.2%1st Place
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4.11Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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4.19Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.16University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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2.77Dartmouth College3.210.3%1st Place
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6.66Middlebury College-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 14.2% | 14.2% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 2.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 16.5% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 1.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 25.1% | 3.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 25.2% | 5.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 21.0% | 20.3% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 9.0% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 27.3% | 22.7% | 19.4% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 0.6% |
| Cordelia Prouvost | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 85.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.