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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.74+2.39vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+1.04vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.30+1.18vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21-1.17vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56-1.20vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.34-1.91vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.31-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Boston University2.740.2%1st Place
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3.04University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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4.18Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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2.83Dartmouth College3.210.3%1st Place
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3.8Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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4.09Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.67Middlebury College-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 18.2% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 1.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 21.3% | 22.2% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 0.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 10.1% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 20.2% | 24.2% | 4.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 26.3% | 21.3% | 20.1% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 0.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 12.0% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 3.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 20.2% | 24.5% | 3.5% |
| Cordelia Prouvost | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 86.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.