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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.76+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.08+1.19vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.21-0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-0.29-0.55vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.90-0.83vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.92-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Northwestern University0.7635.4%1st Place
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3.19University of Michigan0.0816.7%1st Place
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2.75Michigan State University0.2124.1%1st Place
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3.45University of Chicago-0.2913.5%1st Place
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4.17Northwestern University-0.907.5%1st Place
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5.22Miami University-1.922.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Davies | 35.4% | 28.5% | 19.9% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 16.7% | 18.9% | 20.8% | 21.9% | 16.2% | 5.5% |
| Dominique DeLano | 24.1% | 23.3% | 21.9% | 17.8% | 9.8% | 3.1% |
| Ben Kosvic | 13.5% | 15.2% | 20.6% | 21.6% | 21.2% | 7.8% |
| Jenna Spray | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 17.9% | 32.9% | 19.6% |
| AJ McRitchie | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 63.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.