← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.64+1.66vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.90+1.94vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75+3.57vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.07-0.34vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.92-1.12vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy0.40+3.68vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz1.99-1.12vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley1.01+0.20vs Predicted
-
9California State University Monterey Bay0.19+1.16vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis1.68-3.33vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley0.19-1.02vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay0.71-2.88vs Predicted
-
13California State University Monterey Bay0.02-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.66Stanford University3.640.3%1st Place
-
3.94Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
-
6.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
-
3.66Stanford University3.070.2%1st Place
-
3.88Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
-
9.68California Poly Maritime Academy0.400.0%1st Place
-
5.88University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.1%1st Place
-
8.2University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
-
10.16California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
-
6.67University of California at Davis1.680.1%1st Place
-
9.98University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
-
9.12California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
-
10.61California State University Monterey Bay0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Stemler | 30.5% | 23.8% | 19.6% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 13.4% | 17.6% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Maher | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Riihiluoma | 17.2% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 15.5% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| James Davis | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 14.0% |
| Andrew Cowley | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Amery | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 3.1% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 18.7% | 22.5% |
| Ryan Lee | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Kenton Stutz | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 19.6% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% |
| Trevor Fournier | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 20.9% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.