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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine2.34+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.20+3.74vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.12-0.38vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.92-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.13-0.84vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.15-1.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.18-1.24vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.19-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Los Angeles1.200.0%1st Place
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2.62University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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2.93Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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4.16University of Hawaii2.130.1%1st Place
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4.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.1%1st Place
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5.76University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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7.0California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blair Johnston | 14.4% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Shannon Walker | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 26.3% | 18.3% |
| Emily Dahl | 29.8% | 24.2% | 19.8% | 13.5% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 24.1% | 24.2% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 9.7% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 9.3% | 2.1% |
| Morgane Renoir | 11.7% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 2.8% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 27.5% | 18.3% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 10.6% | 20.1% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.