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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.08+2.22vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.76+0.19vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.21-0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-0.29-0.64vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.90-0.76vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.92-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22University of Michigan0.0814.8%1st Place
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2.19Northwestern University0.7636.4%1st Place
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2.75Michigan State University0.2123.5%1st Place
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3.36University of Chicago-0.2914.9%1st Place
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4.24Northwestern University-0.907.0%1st Place
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5.23Miami University-1.923.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ephraim | 14.8% | 19.4% | 21.2% | 22.8% | 16.9% | 5.0% |
| Will Davies | 36.4% | 28.5% | 20.0% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Dominique DeLano | 23.5% | 24.3% | 21.2% | 18.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% |
| Ben Kosvic | 14.9% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 22.9% | 19.9% | 6.4% |
| Jenna Spray | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 33.2% | 20.6% |
| AJ McRitchie | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 15.8% | 64.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.