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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+1.75vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+1.03vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.30+1.18vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.34+0.11vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56-1.20vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.74-2.54vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.31-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Dartmouth College3.210.3%1st Place
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3.03University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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4.18Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.11Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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3.8Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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3.46Boston University2.740.2%1st Place
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6.68Middlebury College-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 28.8% | 21.9% | 19.9% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 0.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 21.6% | 21.5% | 19.5% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 0.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 9.6% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 25.5% | 4.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 11.0% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 23.9% | 4.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 11.6% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 16.7% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% |
| Cordelia Prouvost | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 86.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.