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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+1.72vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.74+1.44vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.56+0.77vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.30+0.18vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.34-0.87vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99-2.90vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.31-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Dartmouth College3.210.3%1st Place
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3.44Boston University2.740.2%1st Place
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3.77Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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4.18Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.13Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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3.1University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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6.66Middlebury College-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 28.7% | 22.6% | 19.2% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 16.5% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 1.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 12.6% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 2.3% |
| Kate Levinson | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 24.8% | 4.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 9.8% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 19.8% | 23.4% | 5.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 21.3% | 20.4% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 0.9% |
| Cordelia Prouvost | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 84.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.