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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.76+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.08+1.24vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.90+1.23vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.21-1.23vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.29-1.63vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.92-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Northwestern University0.7636.4%1st Place
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3.24University of Michigan0.0816.4%1st Place
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4.23Northwestern University-0.907.1%1st Place
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2.77Michigan State University0.2122.8%1st Place
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3.37University of Chicago-0.2914.5%1st Place
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5.18Miami University-1.922.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Davies | 36.4% | 28.2% | 18.6% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 16.4% | 18.2% | 20.7% | 21.1% | 17.4% | 6.2% |
| Jenna Spray | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 31.8% | 22.1% |
| Dominique DeLano | 22.8% | 23.9% | 22.4% | 17.5% | 10.5% | 2.8% |
| Ben Kosvic | 14.5% | 16.6% | 19.1% | 24.1% | 18.4% | 7.4% |
| AJ McRitchie | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 17.8% | 60.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.