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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+2.68vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+1.05vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+0.48vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.30+0.20vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21-2.18vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.34-1.90vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.31-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68Bowdoin College2.560.2%1st Place
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3.05University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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3.48Boston University2.740.2%1st Place
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4.2Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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2.82Dartmouth College3.210.3%1st Place
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4.1Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.67Middlebury College-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 15.4% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 2.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 20.5% | 21.4% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 16.2% | 16.1% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 1.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 20.5% | 25.2% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 26.2% | 22.8% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 19.9% | 24.8% | 3.4% |
| Cordelia Prouvost | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 85.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.