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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.45+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.56+0.56vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.46-0.37vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.54-0.01vs Predicted
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5Miami University-0.89-0.60vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.26-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Northwestern University0.4525.6%1st Place
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2.56University of Michigan0.5627.7%1st Place
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2.63Michigan State University0.4626.7%1st Place
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3.99Northwestern University-0.548.9%1st Place
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4.4Miami University-0.896.2%1st Place
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4.77University of Chicago-1.265.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton de Lesseps | 25.6% | 24.0% | 22.6% | 17.1% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Zachary Beyer | 27.7% | 25.9% | 21.4% | 15.4% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Naveen Kumanan | 26.7% | 23.8% | 22.5% | 16.4% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Anna Kovacs | 8.9% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 21.1% | 26.9% | 17.9% |
| Allison Hoeft | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 26.8% | 29.7% |
| Matthew Rothfusz | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 22.8% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.