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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+2.06vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+1.73vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+0.47vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.30+0.19vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21-2.19vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.34-1.91vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.31-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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3.73Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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3.47Boston University2.740.2%1st Place
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4.19Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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2.81Dartmouth College3.210.3%1st Place
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4.09Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.66Middlebury College-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 22.3% | 20.0% | 19.8% | 16.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 13.0% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 16.0% | 16.7% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 2.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 20.4% | 25.0% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 26.6% | 22.2% | 19.6% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 20.4% | 24.0% | 3.4% |
| Cordelia Prouvost | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 85.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.