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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.30+3.11vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.74+1.45vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.56+0.77vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21-1.21vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99-1.85vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.34-1.93vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.31-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.45Boston University2.740.2%1st Place
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3.77Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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2.79Dartmouth College3.210.3%1st Place
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3.15University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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4.07Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.66Middlebury College-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Levinson | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 23.9% | 5.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 15.9% | 17.2% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 1.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 13.2% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 26.4% | 22.6% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 20.2% | 21.2% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 1.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 11.2% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 25.7% | 3.4% |
| Cordelia Prouvost | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 85.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.