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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.45+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.56+0.53vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.46-0.33vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.54-0.11vs Predicted
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5Miami University-0.89-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.26-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Northwestern University0.4525.9%1st Place
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2.53University of Michigan0.5628.7%1st Place
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2.67Michigan State University0.4624.1%1st Place
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3.89Northwestern University-0.549.7%1st Place
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4.39Miami University-0.897.0%1st Place
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4.83University of Chicago-1.264.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton de Lesseps | 25.9% | 22.8% | 23.1% | 16.2% | 8.8% | 3.3% |
| Zachary Beyer | 28.7% | 25.7% | 21.6% | 14.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Naveen Kumanan | 24.1% | 26.7% | 21.3% | 16.8% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| Anna Kovacs | 9.7% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 22.9% | 24.1% | 16.2% |
| Allison Hoeft | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 28.0% | 29.4% |
| Matthew Rothfusz | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 23.4% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.