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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.45+1.65vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.56+0.55vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.54+0.94vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.46-1.33vs Predicted
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5Miami University-0.89-0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.26-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Northwestern University0.4526.5%1st Place
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2.55University of Michigan0.5628.5%1st Place
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3.94Northwestern University-0.549.0%1st Place
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2.67Michigan State University0.4624.9%1st Place
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4.37Miami University-0.896.6%1st Place
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4.82University of Chicago-1.264.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton de Lesseps | 26.5% | 23.8% | 21.8% | 17.0% | 8.4% | 2.6% |
| Zachary Beyer | 28.5% | 25.1% | 21.6% | 15.2% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Anna Kovacs | 9.0% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 25.5% | 17.7% |
| Naveen Kumanan | 24.9% | 24.2% | 22.9% | 17.0% | 8.8% | 2.2% |
| Allison Hoeft | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 27.4% | 28.9% |
| Matthew Rothfusz | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 22.9% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.