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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+2.69vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.34+2.03vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+0.11vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.74-0.47vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.30-0.79vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21-3.22vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.31-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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4.03Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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3.11University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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3.53Boston University2.740.2%1st Place
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4.21Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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2.78Dartmouth College3.210.3%1st Place
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6.66Middlebury College-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 14.9% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 2.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 10.9% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 21.1% | 22.8% | 3.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 19.6% | 21.4% | 20.1% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 16.2% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 1.7% |
| Kate Levinson | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 18.7% | 25.1% | 5.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 27.8% | 22.2% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 0.6% |
| Cordelia Prouvost | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 85.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.