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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.45+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-1.26+2.83vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.46-0.35vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.56-1.48vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.54-1.03vs Predicted
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6Miami University-0.89-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Northwestern University0.4525.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Chicago-1.264.6%1st Place
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2.65Michigan State University0.4626.1%1st Place
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2.52University of Michigan0.5628.2%1st Place
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3.97Northwestern University-0.548.8%1st Place
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4.41Miami University-0.897.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton de Lesseps | 25.1% | 26.0% | 22.8% | 16.8% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Rothfusz | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 24.6% | 45.2% |
| Naveen Kumanan | 26.1% | 23.4% | 22.9% | 16.9% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
| Zachary Beyer | 28.2% | 26.2% | 22.1% | 14.5% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 22.7% | 25.6% | 17.6% |
| Allison Hoeft | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 26.9% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.