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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+2.66vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+0.74vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.34+1.12vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99-0.85vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74-1.47vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.30-1.87vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.31-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Bowdoin College2.560.2%1st Place
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2.74Dartmouth College3.210.3%1st Place
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4.12Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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3.15University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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3.53Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.13Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.66Middlebury College-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 15.4% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 27.2% | 23.5% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 0.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 20.8% | 23.5% | 4.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 20.1% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 8.8% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 15.0% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 2.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 11.2% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 26.2% | 3.9% |
| Cordelia Prouvost | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 85.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.