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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+2.04vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.34+2.04vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.30+1.16vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56-0.20vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21-2.18vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.74-2.53vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.31-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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4.04Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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4.16Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.8Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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2.82Dartmouth College3.210.3%1st Place
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3.47Boston University2.740.2%1st Place
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6.67Middlebury College-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 23.0% | 19.6% | 21.0% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 0.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 10.6% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 19.2% | 24.5% | 3.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 25.1% | 4.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 13.1% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 25.8% | 24.2% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 17.0% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 1.9% |
| Cordelia Prouvost | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 86.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.