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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+2.03vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.34+2.03vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.30+1.17vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.74-0.50vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56-1.18vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21-3.21vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.31-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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4.03Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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4.17Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.5Boston University2.740.2%1st Place
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3.82Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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2.79Dartmouth College3.210.3%1st Place
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6.67Middlebury College-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 23.1% | 20.7% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 0.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 10.6% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 20.0% | 23.4% | 2.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 10.5% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 19.3% | 25.1% | 4.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 15.9% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 20.2% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 1.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 12.8% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 26.4% | 23.9% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Cordelia Prouvost | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 86.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.