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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California3.12+1.53vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.13+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.15+1.16vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine2.34-0.16vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.92-2.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.18-0.32vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.19+0.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.20-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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4.18University of Hawaii2.130.1%1st Place
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4.16University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.1%1st Place
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3.84University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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2.94Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.68University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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7.02California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Los Angeles1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dahl | 32.3% | 25.6% | 17.9% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 10.4% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 2.2% |
| Morgane Renoir | 11.0% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 9.7% | 2.9% |
| Blair Johnston | 13.6% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 22.9% | 23.8% | 19.9% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 18.9% | 25.8% | 17.3% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 18.3% | 59.8% |
| Shannon Walker | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 19.5% | 26.7% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.