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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+1.74vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.74+1.46vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.30+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99-0.86vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.34-0.88vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.31+0.76vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Dartmouth College3.210.3%1st Place
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3.46Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.15Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.14University of Vermont2.990.2%1st Place
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4.12Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.76Middlebury College-0.310.0%1st Place
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3.64Bowdoin College2.560.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 28.5% | 23.0% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 14.7% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 1.2% |
| Kate Levinson | 10.3% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 27.2% | 3.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 21.2% | 18.2% | 20.2% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 0.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 8.9% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 23.9% | 4.0% |
| Cordelia Prouvost | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 5.9% | 88.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 15.9% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 18.7% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.