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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan3.02+0.32vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-0.86+2.50vs Predicted
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3Purdue University1.14-0.31vs Predicted
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4Denison University1.08-1.20vs Predicted
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5Purdue University1.14-2.31vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.07-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.32University of Michigan3.020.7%1st Place
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4.5University of Illinois-0.860.0%1st Place
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2.69Purdue University1.140.1%1st Place
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2.8Denison University1.080.1%1st Place
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2.69Purdue University1.140.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Michigan0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 74.9% | 19.0% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hakim | 1.4% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 18.6% | 69.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Pollock | 10.5% | 34.1% | 34.4% | 18.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Martijn Bosma | 9.2% | 32.1% | 32.8% | 21.4% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Grant Pollock | 10.5% | 34.1% | 34.4% | 18.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Gazall | 4.0% | 11.5% | 19.7% | 41.3% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.