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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan3.02+0.32vs Predicted
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2Denison University1.08+0.77vs Predicted
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3Purdue University1.14-0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-0.86+0.47vs Predicted
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5Purdue University1.14-2.28vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.07-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.32University of Michigan3.020.7%1st Place
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2.77Denison University1.080.1%1st Place
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2.72Purdue University1.140.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Illinois-0.860.0%1st Place
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2.72Purdue University1.140.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Michigan0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 74.6% | 19.2% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martijn Bosma | 9.8% | 31.6% | 34.6% | 20.1% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Grant Pollock | 10.9% | 33.5% | 33.5% | 17.4% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hakim | 1.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 20.9% | 66.6% | 0.0% |
| Grant Pollock | 10.9% | 33.5% | 33.5% | 17.4% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Gazall | 3.4% | 11.5% | 19.4% | 40.9% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.