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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.43+3.81vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.69+2.29vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.65+2.46vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.04-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.26-1.66vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.88-1.05vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.18-1.52vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.01-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Connecticut College0.4310.5%1st Place
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4.29Tufts University0.6913.1%1st Place
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5.46Northeastern University0.657.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Rhode Island1.0416.0%1st Place
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3.34University of Rhode Island1.2620.8%1st Place
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4.95Connecticut College0.889.0%1st Place
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5.48Salve Regina University0.187.0%1st Place
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3.77Roger Williams University1.0116.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Andrew Powers | 10.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 14.3% |
Samantha Jensen | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 7.7% |
Carter Brock | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 24.9% |
Ryan Palardy | 16.0% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
Zachary Champney | 20.8% | 19.9% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
Ryan Mckinney | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 16.2% |
Molly Hanrahan | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 25.9% |
Luke Hosek | 16.5% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.