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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.26+2.28vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.18+3.58vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.43+1.81vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.04-0.20vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69-0.71vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.01-2.12vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.88-2.11vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.65-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of Rhode Island1.2622.1%1st Place
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5.58Salve Regina University0.185.7%1st Place
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4.81Connecticut College0.439.3%1st Place
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3.8University of Rhode Island1.0417.8%1st Place
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4.29Tufts University0.6913.1%1st Place
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3.88Roger Williams University1.0115.8%1st Place
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4.89Connecticut College0.8810.0%1st Place
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5.46Northeastern University0.656.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Champney | 22.1% | 20.1% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 26.2% |
| Andrew Powers | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.8% |
| Ryan Palardy | 17.8% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 8.6% |
| Luke Hosek | 15.8% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 16.2% |
| Carter Brock | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.