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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.43+3.88vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.26+1.47vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.65+2.59vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.69+0.36vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.97-0.49vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.88-0.87vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.04-2.96vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.01-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Connecticut College0.4310.0%1st Place
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3.47University of Rhode Island1.2619.5%1st Place
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5.59Northeastern University0.657.2%1st Place
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4.36Tufts University0.6912.7%1st Place
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4.51Salve Regina University0.9712.2%1st Place
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5.13Connecticut College0.887.1%1st Place
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4.04University of Rhode Island1.0415.2%1st Place
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4.03Roger Williams University1.0116.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Andrew Powers | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 16.2% |
Zachary Champney | 19.5% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
Carter Brock | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 29.7% |
Samantha Jensen | 12.7% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% |
Olivia Lowthian | 12.2% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% |
Ryan Mckinney | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 19.1% |
Ryan Palardy | 15.2% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 6.0% |
Luke Hosek | 16.2% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.