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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University1.14+1.25vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.51+0.88vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.07+0.36vs Predicted
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4Denison University1.08-1.76vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-0.86-0.72vs Predicted
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6Purdue University1.14-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Purdue University1.140.3%1st Place
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2.88University of Michigan0.510.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Michigan0.070.1%1st Place
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2.24Denison University1.080.3%1st Place
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4.28University of Illinois-0.860.0%1st Place
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2.25Purdue University1.140.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Pollock | 33.9% | 28.0% | 21.9% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 16.4% | 22.9% | 27.1% | 23.9% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Gazall | 12.1% | 13.5% | 20.8% | 33.9% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Martijn Bosma | 33.4% | 29.4% | 20.7% | 13.2% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hakim | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 17.5% | 62.6% | 0.0% |
| Grant Pollock | 33.9% | 28.0% | 21.9% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.