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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.43+4.03vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.04+1.98vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.26+0.46vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.65+1.55vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69-0.54vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97-1.53vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.01-3.01vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.88-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Connecticut College0.438.8%1st Place
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3.98University of Rhode Island1.0416.2%1st Place
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3.46University of Rhode Island1.2621.1%1st Place
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5.55Northeastern University0.657.0%1st Place
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4.46Tufts University0.6912.2%1st Place
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4.47Salve Regina University0.9711.4%1st Place
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3.99Roger Williams University1.0114.5%1st Place
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5.05Connecticut College0.888.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Andrew Powers | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 17.3% |
Ryan Palardy | 16.2% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.7% |
Zachary Champney | 21.1% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
Carter Brock | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 28.6% |
Samantha Jensen | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 9.9% |
Olivia Lowthian | 11.4% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% |
Luke Hosek | 14.5% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.3% |
Ryan Mckinney | 8.7% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.