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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University1.14+1.23vs Predicted
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2Purdue University1.14+0.23vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.07+0.40vs Predicted
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4Denison University1.08-1.74vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.51-2.15vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-0.86-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Purdue University1.140.3%1st Place
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2.23Purdue University1.140.3%1st Place
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3.4University of Michigan0.070.1%1st Place
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2.26Denison University1.080.3%1st Place
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2.85University of Michigan0.510.2%1st Place
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4.27University of Illinois-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Pollock | 34.5% | 28.9% | 20.5% | 11.7% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Grant Pollock | 34.5% | 28.9% | 20.5% | 11.7% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Gazall | 10.0% | 13.7% | 23.0% | 33.4% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Martijn Bosma | 33.8% | 27.0% | 22.1% | 13.5% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 18.0% | 22.5% | 25.4% | 24.5% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hakim | 3.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 16.9% | 62.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.