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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.04+2.81vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.26+1.29vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.01+0.84vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.65+1.53vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69-0.72vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.88-1.02vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.18-1.49vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.43-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81University of Rhode Island1.0416.1%1st Place
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3.29University of Rhode Island1.2622.6%1st Place
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3.84Roger Williams University1.0115.4%1st Place
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5.53Northeastern University0.656.6%1st Place
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4.28Tufts University0.6912.8%1st Place
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4.98Connecticut College0.888.5%1st Place
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5.51Salve Regina University0.187.1%1st Place
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4.77Connecticut College0.4311.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Palardy | 16.1% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Zachary Champney | 22.6% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 15.4% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Carter Brock | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 26.7% |
| Samantha Jensen | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 7.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 17.7% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 24.9% |
| Andrew Powers | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.