← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.04+2.93vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College0.88+3.00vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University0.65+2.37vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.01-0.21vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island1.26-1.58vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College0.43-1.16vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University0.18-1.52vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University0.69-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.93University of Rhode Island1.0415.5%1st Place
-
5.0Connecticut College0.889.0%1st Place
-
5.37Northeastern University0.658.2%1st Place
-
3.79Roger Williams University1.0116.7%1st Place
-
3.42University of Rhode Island1.2619.9%1st Place
-
4.84Connecticut College0.439.2%1st Place
-
5.48Salve Regina University0.186.7%1st Place
-
4.17Tufts University0.6914.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryan Palardy | 15.5% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
Ryan Mckinney | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 16.6% |
Carter Brock | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 25.8% |
Luke Hosek | 16.7% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
Zachary Champney | 19.9% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
Andrew Powers | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 13.6% |
Molly Hanrahan | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 24.6% |
Samantha Jensen | 14.8% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.