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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan3.02+0.33vs Predicted
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2Denison University1.08+0.75vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.07+0.70vs Predicted
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4Purdue University1.14-1.26vs Predicted
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5Purdue University1.14-2.26vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-0.86-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.33University of Michigan3.020.7%1st Place
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2.75Denison University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.7University of Michigan0.070.0%1st Place
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2.74Purdue University1.140.1%1st Place
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2.74Purdue University1.140.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Illinois-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 74.8% | 19.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Martijn Bosma | 10.0% | 32.2% | 34.0% | 20.0% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Gazall | 4.2% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 41.4% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Pollock | 9.7% | 32.9% | 35.2% | 18.3% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Grant Pollock | 9.7% | 32.9% | 35.2% | 18.3% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hakim | 1.3% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 19.2% | 67.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.