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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.04+2.94vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.88+3.09vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.43+1.92vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.65+1.64vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.01-1.06vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.26-2.48vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.69-2.59vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94University of Rhode Island1.0416.1%1st Place
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5.09Connecticut College0.888.5%1st Place
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4.92Connecticut College0.439.9%1st Place
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5.64Northeastern University0.655.9%1st Place
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3.94Roger Williams University1.0114.8%1st Place
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3.52University of Rhode Island1.2620.1%1st Place
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4.41Tufts University0.6913.3%1st Place
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4.53Salve Regina University0.9711.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryan Palardy | 16.1% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
Ryan Mckinney | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 20.3% |
Andrew Powers | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 15.8% |
Carter Brock | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 29.1% |
Luke Hosek | 14.8% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 4.7% |
Zachary Champney | 20.1% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
Samantha Jensen | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 10.0% |
Olivia Lowthian | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.