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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California3.12+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine2.34+1.82vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.15+1.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.18+1.75vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.92-2.08vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.19+0.96vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.20-1.25vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.13-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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3.82University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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4.14University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.1%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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2.92Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.96California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Los Angeles1.200.0%1st Place
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4.1University of Hawaii2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dahl | 31.0% | 26.1% | 18.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Blair Johnston | 13.3% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Morgane Renoir | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 19.2% | 27.7% | 17.9% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 23.4% | 23.7% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 11.4% | 20.6% | 54.5% |
| Shannon Walker | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 26.1% | 19.7% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 11.0% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.