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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.01+2.88vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.04+1.85vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.65+2.44vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.69+0.24vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.43-0.12vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.88-1.11vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.26-3.71vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.18-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Roger Williams University1.0115.2%1st Place
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3.85University of Rhode Island1.0415.7%1st Place
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5.44Northeastern University0.656.7%1st Place
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4.24Tufts University0.6914.5%1st Place
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4.88Connecticut College0.438.3%1st Place
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4.89Connecticut College0.8810.3%1st Place
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3.29University of Rhode Island1.2622.9%1st Place
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5.53Salve Regina University0.186.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Luke Hosek | 15.2% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
Ryan Palardy | 15.7% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
Carter Brock | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 24.9% |
Samantha Jensen | 14.5% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 7.8% |
Andrew Powers | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 14.5% |
Ryan Mckinney | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 14.9% |
Zachary Champney | 22.9% | 18.8% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
Molly Hanrahan | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.