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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan3.02+0.32vs Predicted
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2Purdue University1.14+0.70vs Predicted
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3Purdue University1.14-0.30vs Predicted
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4Denison University1.08-1.23vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.07-1.26vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-0.86-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.32University of Michigan3.020.7%1st Place
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2.7Purdue University1.140.1%1st Place
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2.7Purdue University1.140.1%1st Place
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2.77Denison University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Michigan0.070.0%1st Place
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4.46University of Illinois-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 74.9% | 19.1% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Pollock | 10.3% | 34.1% | 34.2% | 18.2% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Pollock | 10.3% | 34.1% | 34.2% | 18.2% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Martijn Bosma | 10.4% | 31.8% | 31.7% | 22.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Gazall | 3.1% | 10.9% | 20.4% | 40.0% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hakim | 1.3% | 4.1% | 8.9% | 18.2% | 67.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.