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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.49+0.13vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-0.35+0.85vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.61+0.05vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.61-0.95vs Predicted
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5Denison University-0.69-1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-3.18-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.13University of Michigan2.490.9%1st Place
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2.85University of Illinois-0.350.0%1st Place
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3.05Purdue University-0.610.0%1st Place
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3.05Purdue University-0.610.0%1st Place
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3.16Denison University-0.690.0%1st Place
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4.81University of Michigan-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cyr | 88.4% | 10.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Schloff | 4.6% | 34.5% | 34.2% | 24.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Davis Carroll | 4.1% | 28.2% | 30.4% | 33.4% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Davis Carroll | 4.1% | 28.2% | 30.4% | 33.4% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Tara Foster | 2.8% | 25.2% | 31.3% | 34.2% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Rogers | 0.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 8.0% | 87.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.