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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine2.34+2.77vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.15+2.17vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.12-0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.13+0.18vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.92-2.10vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.20-0.33vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.18-2.26vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.19-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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4.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.1%1st Place
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2.6University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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4.18University of Hawaii2.130.1%1st Place
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2.9Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.67University of California at Los Angeles1.200.0%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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6.99California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blair Johnston | 13.6% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Morgane Renoir | 11.0% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 3.0% |
| Emily Dahl | 29.6% | 25.5% | 20.0% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 10.9% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 9.4% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 24.7% | 24.6% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Shannon Walker | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 21.6% | 23.2% | 17.5% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 26.4% | 19.3% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 21.7% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.