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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+5.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.54vs Predicted
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3University of North Texas1.77+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.41+6.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.38+0.50vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.68+0.90vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.92-0.70vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+3.27vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering0.22-0.54vs Predicted
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10Bates College0.02-0.73vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-0.81+0.96vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46-3.67vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-0.12-3.65vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.27-3.58vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.55-2.84vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-0.66-4.26vs Predicted
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17Unknown School-2.23-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89University of California at Santa Cruz1.037.6%1st Place
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4.54University of California at Los Angeles1.3015.8%1st Place
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3.69University of North Texas1.7720.9%1st Place
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10.81University of Texas0.412.6%1st Place
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5.5University of California at San Diego1.3811.6%1st Place
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6.9University of New Hampshire0.687.2%1st Place
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6.3Purdue University0.928.8%1st Place
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11.27SUNY Stony Brook-0.401.2%1st Place
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8.46Olin College of Engineering0.224.2%1st Place
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9.27Bates College0.023.5%1st Place
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11.96University of Delaware-0.812.0%1st Place
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8.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.464.2%1st Place
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9.35Marquette University-0.124.2%1st Place
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10.42San Diego State University-0.272.8%1st Place
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12.16Middlebury College-0.551.8%1st Place
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11.74Fairfield University-0.661.3%1st Place
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15.41Unknown School-2.230.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitor Iriso | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Marianna Shand | 15.8% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dutch Byerly | 20.9% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Odey Hariri | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kristin Hess | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 4.8% |
| James Jagielski | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Valentino | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 8.2% |
| Stephen Poirier | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Jenna Kozal | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 10.3% |
| Andrew White | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 6.1% |
| Jacob Barilla | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.