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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.49+0.13vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.61+1.09vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-0.35-0.18vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.61-0.91vs Predicted
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5Denison University-0.69-1.86vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-3.18-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.13University of Michigan2.490.9%1st Place
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3.09Purdue University-0.610.0%1st Place
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2.82University of Illinois-0.350.1%1st Place
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3.09Purdue University-0.610.0%1st Place
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3.14Denison University-0.690.0%1st Place
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4.81University of Michigan-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cyr | 88.0% | 10.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Carroll | 3.6% | 25.8% | 32.7% | 33.7% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Schloff | 5.5% | 36.6% | 30.4% | 25.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Davis Carroll | 3.6% | 25.8% | 32.7% | 33.7% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Tara Foster | 2.8% | 25.5% | 32.4% | 33.5% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Rogers | 0.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 7.6% | 87.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.