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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.68+6.11vs Predicted
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2University of North Texas1.77+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+3.91vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.45vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.92+1.29vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.66+5.59vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering0.22+1.51vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.27+2.33vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-2.23+6.24vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46-1.47vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.41-0.30vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.38-6.37vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-1.55vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.55-1.79vs Predicted
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15Marquette University-0.12-5.59vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.02-6.87vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-0.81-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11University of New Hampshire0.687.0%1st Place
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3.66University of North Texas1.7721.6%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Santa Cruz1.037.5%1st Place
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4.45University of California at Los Angeles1.3015.2%1st Place
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6.29Purdue University0.928.5%1st Place
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11.59Fairfield University-0.661.9%1st Place
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8.51Olin College of Engineering0.224.3%1st Place
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10.33San Diego State University-0.272.9%1st Place
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15.24Unknown School-2.230.5%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.464.8%1st Place
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10.7University of Texas0.413.0%1st Place
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5.63University of California at San Diego1.3810.4%1st Place
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11.45SUNY Stony Brook-0.402.1%1st Place
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12.21Middlebury College-0.551.1%1st Place
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9.41Marquette University-0.123.4%1st Place
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9.13Bates College0.023.9%1st Place
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11.85University of Delaware-0.812.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dutch Byerly | 21.6% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 15.2% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew White | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 6.5% |
| James Jagielski | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Jacob Barilla | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 60.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kristin Hess | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 6.3% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 9.3% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Jack Valentino | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.