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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.71+0.97vs Predicted
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2Colgate University1.66+1.23vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University1.40+0.60vs Predicted
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4Penn State University1.35-0.33vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.03-0.81vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College0.88-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Washington College2.710.5%1st Place
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3.23Colgate University1.660.2%1st Place
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3.6Syracuse University1.400.1%1st Place
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3.67Penn State University1.350.1%1st Place
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4.19Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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4.35Hamilton College0.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Nunn | 46.6% | 26.4% | 16.1% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| William Baxter | 15.1% | 22.8% | 19.7% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 8.8% |
| Andrew Murphy | 12.5% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 19.7% | 20.3% | 13.6% |
| John Shanahan | 12.1% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 20.7% | 20.1% | 14.8% |
| Robert Suriani | 7.3% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 18.3% | 21.1% | 27.8% |
| Ian Brown | 6.4% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.