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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Texas1.77+2.61vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.68+5.11vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46+5.41vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+2.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.38-0.43vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering0.22+1.56vs Predicted
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8University of Texas0.41+2.80vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.27+1.42vs Predicted
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10Bates College0.02-0.92vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+0.18vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-0.66-0.40vs Predicted
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13Purdue University0.92-6.82vs Predicted
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14Marquette University-0.12-4.61vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-0.81-3.12vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.55-3.79vs Predicted
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17Unknown School-2.23-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61University of North Texas1.7722.6%1st Place
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7.11University of New Hampshire0.686.3%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.464.9%1st Place
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4.62University of California at Los Angeles1.3015.0%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Santa Cruz1.036.3%1st Place
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5.57University of California at San Diego1.3811.2%1st Place
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8.56Olin College of Engineering0.224.2%1st Place
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10.8University of Texas0.412.6%1st Place
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10.42San Diego State University-0.273.0%1st Place
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9.08Bates College0.024.0%1st Place
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11.18SUNY Stony Brook-0.402.1%1st Place
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11.6Fairfield University-0.661.6%1st Place
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6.18Purdue University0.928.6%1st Place
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9.39Marquette University-0.123.8%1st Place
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11.88University of Delaware-0.812.1%1st Place
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12.21Middlebury College-0.551.4%1st Place
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15.33Unknown School-2.230.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dutch Byerly | 22.6% | 19.1% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Stephen Poirier | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Marianna Shand | 15.0% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Casey Gignac | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 2.9% |
| Jack Valentino | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Kristin Hess | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 4.8% |
| Andrew White | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 6.9% |
| Odey Hariri | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 8.3% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 17.0% | 10.3% |
| Jacob Barilla | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 58.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.