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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.71+0.98vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University1.40+1.56vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.03+1.12vs Predicted
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4Colgate University1.66-0.77vs Predicted
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6Penn State University1.35-2.22vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College0.88-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Washington College2.710.5%1st Place
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3.56Syracuse University1.400.1%1st Place
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4.12Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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3.23Colgate University1.660.2%1st Place
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3.78Penn State University1.350.1%1st Place
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4.34Hamilton College0.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Nunn | 46.5% | 26.0% | 16.2% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Murphy | 11.6% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 19.4% | 13.6% |
| Robert Suriani | 8.9% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 23.2% | 25.1% |
| William Baxter | 16.6% | 18.5% | 21.8% | 19.9% | 14.9% | 8.3% |
| John Shanahan | 10.3% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 19.0% | 19.1% | 18.8% |
| Ian Brown | 6.1% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 21.0% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.