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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.03+3.18vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University1.40+1.58vs Predicted
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3Penn State University1.35+0.64vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.88-0.66vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.71-3.97vs Predicted
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7Colgate University1.66-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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3.58Syracuse University1.400.1%1st Place
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3.64Penn State University1.350.1%1st Place
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4.34Hamilton College0.880.1%1st Place
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2.03Washington College2.710.4%1st Place
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3.25Colgate University1.660.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Suriani | 7.7% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 18.5% | 19.4% | 29.4% |
| Andrew Murphy | 12.5% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 19.0% | 14.3% |
| John Shanahan | 12.5% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 21.1% | 13.9% |
| Ian Brown | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 21.2% | 32.8% |
| Charles Nunn | 44.6% | 26.1% | 17.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| William Baxter | 15.4% | 20.2% | 21.5% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.